Version : April 2024
- Possible Objective of the Attack
- Demonstrate military capabilities.
- Test Israel’s air defense systems.
- Communicate strategic messages to regional actors.
- Execution of the Attack
- Pre-Attack Notification
- Three days’ notice provided.
- Warnings issued as missiles and drones were launched.
- Weapons Used
- Over 300 drones and missiles.
- Inclusion of hypersonic missiles.
- Outcome
- Most missiles intercepted.
- Minimal damage and casualties.
- Hypersonic missiles penetrated defenses.
- Pre-Attack Notification
- Possible Strategic Messages
- To Israel
- Capability to overwhelm defenses over time.
- Display of controlled aggression to minimize casualties.
- To Gulf Monarchies
- Implicit warning against involvement.
- Highlighting non-aggression but with a cautionary tone.
- To the International Community
- Demonstration of restraint and precision in military engagements.
- Openness to de-escalation and resolution.
- To Israel
- Possible Implications
- Military
- Showcases the potential limitations of current defense systems against new missile technologies.
- Economic
- Highlighted the high cost of air defense munitions for Israel.
- Political
- Iran positions itself as a rational actor willing to conclude hostilities.
- Contrasts Western media focus, which anticipates further escalation.
- Military
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